Is Bankruptcy for GM Inevitable?

Economics | Posted by C.C.Mitchell
May 11 2009

Experts say a Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing is all but inevitable for General Motors. To restructure itself and avoid court

General Motors

General Motors

proceedings GM must convince bondholders to accept at trade of $27 billion in debt for 10 percent of its high risk GM stock. Along with that, the automaker must work out deals with the UAW, commit to factory closures, reduce the number of brands by eliminating or selling brands and force hundreds of dealers out of business; all in less than three weeks.

It has been expected for some time now that this would be the case. The long list of unpleasant financial chores to be done by the auto maker hasn’t changed since February, the tasks at hand just become more daunting as time begins to run out.

Although company executives said last week they would still prefer to restructure out of court, experts say all GM is doing now is lining up majorities of stakeholders to make its court-supervised reorganization (a euphemism for bankruptcy) move more quickly. This is evident in remarks by General Motors CEO Fritz Henderson.

“If we need to pursue bankruptcy, we will make sure that we do it in an expeditious fashion. The exact strategies I’m not getting into today, but we’ll be ready to go if that’s required,”

Bankruptcy threats may just be  a bluff to convince bondholders to take the debt for stock swap deal. This strategy didn’t work for Chrysler as a few bondholders held out, refusing to accept what came to roughly 30 cents on the dollar. Most likely GM will be dealing with some of the same bondholders that created roadblocks for  Chrysler. These bond holders constitute the biggest obstacle to avoiding bankruptcy and making the deal will not be easy. Since the government and the UAW will get more stock for debts owed then the bondholders will, they will be reluctant to make such a deal. As with Chrysler the stubborn ones decided to take their chances with bankruptcy hearings.

The president didn’t much like the hold outs in the Chrysler case. He referred to them as selfish, un-american, and said that he, “does not stand with them”. What does he expect? These companies invested billions in the auto industry and its not their money but their constituents’ money. They have an obligation to their share holders to collect as much of the debt owed them as possible. I know I would be upset if I were an investor in one of those companies that took a massive loss because GM wants to pay only pennies on the dollar.

Under Chapter 11, a company can stay in operation under the protection of the court while it sheds it’s debts and unprofitable assets to emerge in a more stable  financial position.

Yet in the event of a bankruptcy filing we the people can kiss goodbye our $15.5 billion GM has already gotten from the government. They most likely would not be forced to pay that money back. As usual the best option will be the most costly to the American people.

What’s your take on the potential Bankruptcy of GM?

Will it happen or are the blowing smoke to blind those to whom they owe money?

If they do file, is that whats best for General Motors overall?

Its a Cracked World, how do we mend it?

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John Murtha Hands Government Money to His Relatives

Politics, State Politics | Posted by C.C.Mitchell
May 05 2009

Today it comes out that Congressman John Murtha may be using his political influence to help out his relatives.

A company owned by a nephew of Congressman John Murtha, Murtech Inc., received $4 million from the Defense Department last year.  Murtha has been known for getting government money for defense contractors in his home state.

{{w|John Murtha}}, U.S.
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John Murtha, a former Marine is the chairman of the House appropriations defense subcommittee. A very powerful position for some one who wants to further the careers of friends and relatives. Last year Murthas’ Nephew, Robert Murtha, owner of Murtech Inc. was awarded a no bid contract. Murtech Inc. provides “necessary logistical support” to Pentagon testing programs” as put by Robert Murtha himself.

You may remember how much of an issue was made of alleged no bid contracts to Haliburton by Vice President Dick Cheney. What John Murtha is doing is no different but he thinks its alright because it’s him this time and not a Republican.

Don’t get me wrong I have never been shocked by the level of hypocrisy that a politician is capable of; but this is pretty blatant.

The New York Times reported that another nephew of John Murtha’s was given a congressional lobbying position, which raised concerns in Washington last week.  Col. Brian Murtha (United States Marine Corps)was appointed to a legislative liaison position that could allow him to make direct contact with his uncle. I thought Obama was going to put an end to lobbyists in Washington.

Guess not.

John Murtha also reportedly earmarked millions of dollars to  St. Vincent College, while his cousin, the Rev. John F. Murtha, was its president.

Rep. John Murtha of Pennsylvania has been a strong opponent of the Iraq war in stark contrast to his nephews defense contracting. He has been quoted as such:

“This is the thing that has worried me right along. We’re spending $8 billion dollars a month.”

Apparently he found a way to make some of that money back and keep it in the Family  as well. The  quotes above can be found here.

He doesn’t seem to have a problem with spending billions of dollars on earmarks for his own relatives but not for issues of national security. Of course these kinds of earmarks will be overlooked by The Obama administration when it comes to rooting out earmarks from bills in congress.

Surely Rep. Murtha will be calling in favors to the president when ever his relatives need a few bucks.

Its a Cracked World; Congressman Murtha doesn’t help.

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Are Small Businesses the Key to Economic Recovery?

Politics | Posted by C.C.Mitchell
May 01 2009

Despite all the efforts of Washington think tanks to stave off an even deeper economic recession it appears that all the kings men missed something in the $787 billion spending plan which was supposed to create jobs and rebuild the economy. A point of many top economists, such as Laura Tyson the Chair of President Clintons Council of Economic Advisers; and Carly Fiorina the former CEO of Hewlett-Packard and John McCain’s top economic advisor, is that small businesses have been ignored in the Stimulus plan.

In fact the American Small Business League (ASBL) estimates over $100 billion a year in federal small business contracts are diverted to Fortune 500 companies and other large businesses.

Small businesses were growing out of necessity in 2008 when the economy started to fall . Bizbox has an article of interest to this topic; it states that as larger corporations go under it produces numerous talented, ambitious, but jobless people who find that this is the perfect time to go into business for themselves. Bizbox  refers to this trend as The Great Rearranging.

Seal of the U.S. government's Small Business A...
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President Eisenhower signed into law the Small Business Act of 1953, this was done to stimulate the economy through the advancement of small businesses. Eisenhower and that sitting congress new that small business is the backbone of the American economy. Obama has spent most of his time and over $2 trillion on a spending spree on big businesses that liberal Democrats spend most of their time ridiculing. Nothing has gone to the small businesses of America.

According to The Huffington Post Federal law states that 23% of all federally funded contracts and subcontracts are supposed to be awarded to small businesses.

Existing federal law states that a minimum of 23 percent of the total value of all federal contracts and subcontracts shall be awarded to small businesses.

Unfortunately, during the Bush Administration, the Small Business Act and all the benefits it provided to our national economy were significantly damaged. Since 2003, over a dozen federal investigations found Bush officials in every federal agency allowed billions of dollars in federal small business contracts to be diverted to some of the largest firms in the U.S. and even Europe.

Hundreds of billions of dollars in federal contracts that by law were intended for small businesses, actually went to firms such as Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Northrop Grumman, General Dynamics, Raytheon, L-3 Communications, British Aerospace (BAE) and Rolls-Royce.

It is well known that Obama has spent billions on the auto industry and on Wall Street firms. Lloyd Chapman says he has spent 100% of the $2.3 trillion in stimulus on the top 1% of businesses.

“Small businesses are the backbone of our nation’s economy and we must protect this great resource. It is time to end the diversion of federal small business contracts to corporate giants.”

This quote was a major talking point for the Obama Campaign in early 2008 but he seems to have forgotten this key point when he attempted to spend his way out of the current recession. Both Carly Fiornia and Laura Tyson agree that rectifying this is the best way to “stimulate” the economy. It would also be considerably cheaper than the existing plan.

So why won’t President Obama fix this problem and revert these funds back to the Small businesses where they belong?

Just how important is Small Business in America?

Lloyd Chapman head of the American Small Business Association produced some pretty telling statistics on their importance:

  • Small businesses created 97% of all new jobs .
  • Small businesses create over 70% of our economy.
  • Small businesses account for over 27 million U.S. jobs.
  • SMall businesses supply over 50% of the workforce in the private sector.

These are some impressive and at the same time damning statistics. Why wouldn’t any one who is trying to fix the economy not follow this route?  Simple most small businesses don’t make notable campaign contributions because they lack the huge company coffers required to do so. Mr. Chapman, who appears to show no love for President Obama or his predecessor President Bush, speculates that President Obama will divert even more government contracts to wealthy venture capitalists that made significant contributions to his campaign.

Here are his comments as seen on Glenn Beck:

As for Mr Chapmans’ speculations, if Obama does divert more funds to his campaign contributors and I find out about it you’ll be reading more about it here. On that note I have to point out that it was the Democrats that were shouting to the rafters about George W. Bush awarding no bid contracts to Haliberton.

Do you see a connection here?

Are these two points relevant to one another?

Are Small businesses the key to Economic Recovery?

Its a Cracked World; I’m just trying to sort it out.

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Cap and Trade Not Good for America?

Uncategorized | Posted by C.C.Mitchell
Apr 26 2009

After all the out of control spending the Obama Administration has engaged in supposedly to stimulate the economy it seems that he is contradicting his own efforts. His cap and trade program is designed to reduce carbon emissions from the production processes of factories in the United States. It could prove to have negative effects on the progress of economic recovery.

Al gore giving his global warming talk in Moun...
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In short Cap-and-trade is a concept where the Government will issue an allowance or Cap of Carbon Credits, which is Al Gore speak for the right to burn carbon, the businesses of America would be charged for the amount of Carbon Credits they project to burn (no pun intended); once a factory uses all its Carbon Credits it would have to buy or trade for more credits to continue doing business or be taxed horrendously for exceeding its Carbon Credit limit. The total amount of Carbon Credits available to be bought  sold or burned is not to exceed the Cap or allowance put forth by the Federal Government, therefore “Capping” the amount of carbon emissions the nation can produce annually.

Thus, in theory, those that can easily reduce emissions will, and this is supposed to achieving the pollution reduction at the lowest cost to the American consumer.

Not so fast says Mike Pence, a Republican Rep. from Indiana, his theory says it will “cost” the American consumer.

“I think, rightly understood, the cap-and-trade legislation represents an economic declaration of war on the Midwest by liberals in Washington.”

Pence says a proposal by congressional Democrats to regulate gases blamed for global warming could cost the average American household more than $3,000 a year in higher energy costs.

Indystar.com

Politicians, particularly from the left, like Cap and Trade because they can claim to tax only the big polluters. In reality, once the government turns pollution into a commodity to be bought and traded, and then requires businesses to purchase this commodity the cost  incurred from  these purchases will be passed on to the consumer (that’s you and me).

From the Wall Street Journal:

Hit hardest would be the “95% of working families” Mr. Obama keeps mentioning, usually omitting that his no-new-taxes pledge comes with the caveat “unless you use energy.” Putting a price on carbon is regressive by definition because poor and middle-income households spend more of their paychecks on things like gas to drive to work, groceries or home heating.

The Congressional Budget Office  estimates that the price hikes from a 15% cut in emissions would cost the average household in the bottom-income quintile about 3.3% of its after-tax income every year. That’s about $680, not including the costs of reduced employment and output. The three middle quintiles would see their paychecks cut between $880 and $1,500, or 2.9% to 2.7% of income. The rich would pay 1.7%. Cap and trade is the ideal policy for every Beltway analyst who thinks the tax code is too progressive (all five of them).

But the greatest inequities are geographic and would be imposed on the parts of the U.S. that rely most on manufacturing or fossil fuels — particularly coal, which generates most power in the Midwest, Southern and Plains states. It’s no coincidence that the liberals most invested in cap and trade — Barbara Boxer, Henry Waxman, Ed Markey — come from California or the Northeast.

Coal provides more than half of U.S. electricity, and 25 states get more than 50% of their electricity from conventional coal-fired generation. In Ohio, it totals 86%, according to the Energy Information Administration. Ratepayers in Indiana (94%), Missouri (85%), New Mexico (80%), Pennsylvania (56%), West Virginia (98%) and Wyoming (95%) are going to get soaked.

Read the whole article here.

Lessons to be learned from European Cap and Trade

BusinessWeek has a break down of the Euro-experiment with these concepts of recent years. They are less than encouraging, as is the case with most of Europe’s  socialistic programs. Here is a snippet of their take on the pitfalls Europe has encountered with Cap and Trade.

Companies are granted a certain number of carbon units (the “cap”) that they can sell on the open market if their CO2 output falls below its assigned level or buy as needed to offset output above the limit.

Problem is, the price of carbon credits in Europe has plummeted by two-thirds since July 2008 because of tumbling commodity prices and contracting industrial output. The more it costs to offset CO2 production, the greater incentive companies have to switch to more environmentally friendly technologies. Yet analysts reckon the current price of less than €10 ($13) per metric ton of CO2, compared with la

Coal power plant in Datteln (Germany) at the D...

Coal Power Plant in Dattein Germany - Image via Wikipedia

st summer’s highs of €30 ($38), just doesn’t provide enough economic impetus to go green. In other words, it’s cheaper to pollute.

“The carbon price volatility has hurt long-term investment in renewables,” says Colette Lewiner, global energy, utilities, and chemicals leader at consultancy Capgemini (CAPP.PA). “When the price is so low, it plays no role in investment decisions concerning lower CO2-generating power plants.”
Reverting to Coal

The steep fall in the price of carbon credits is sending ripples through European industry and power companies. According to New Carbon Finance analyst Olivier Lejeune, last year’s record carbon price led many of Europe’s utilities-which constitute the largest sector covered under the ETS-to switch from highly polluting coal-fired plants to more efficient natural gas facilities. But after emissions costs began to fall, energy companies reverted to coal because it was more economic to buy cheap carbon credits in the market than continue using more environmentally friendly natural gas. “Recently, the use of coal has massively intensified,” Lejeune says.

Other Possible Pitfalls of Cap and Trade

This plan won’t do anything to make Earth more “green,” all it will do is hamstring our economy. Other nations in the world won’t adopt an emissions reduction plan of any kind because they simply don’t care about it. Countries like Russia, India, Brazil, and North Korea will pollute as much as they want. That will drive industry out of America and into countries without emissions taxes.

It will soon become cheaper to buy energy from Mexico than produce it here.

My take on government in general is that if you give them an inch they will take a mile. The Federal Government doesn’t know where to draw the line; they never have.

So where will this stop?

Use your imagination, maybe cap and trade on the number of cigarettes and cigars you are allowed to smoke in a year?

Maybe you’ll be carbon taxed by the mileage on your car based on whats under the hood.

And of course lets not forget their spending budgets are limited by the amount of Tax revenues they take in too and look how that little scheme works; they spend money they don’t have anyway so what happens when they decide they don’t have enough? Will they just raise the limit?

Its a Cracked World and this is just one more reason why.

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